Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.002434 0.002579 0.002733 0.002912 0.003114 0.003336 0.003602
2025-04-06 0.002166 0.002356 0.002568 0.002828 0.003142 0.003516 0.004005
2025-04-13 0.002003 0.002219 0.002471 0.002793 0.003203 0.003724 0.004466
2025-04-20 0.001822 0.002040 0.002301 0.002642 0.003092 0.003689 0.004591
2025-04-27 0.001742 0.001974 0.002257 0.002640 0.003164 0.003898 0.005092
2025-05-04 0.001704 0.001954 0.002267 0.002703 0.003328 0.004256 0.005913
2025-05-11 0.001646 0.001904 0.002232 0.002701 0.003395 0.004476 0.006569
2025-05-18 0.001624 0.001897 0.002253 0.002776 0.003582 0.004919 0.007817
2025-05-25 0.001572 0.001848 0.002212 0.002757 0.003621 0.005117 0.008641
2025-06-01 0.001516 0.001790 0.002155 0.002708 0.003603 0.005205 0.009248
2025-06-08 0.001498 0.001782 0.002166 0.002763 0.003763 0.005664 0.011161
2025-06-15 0.001475 0.001765 0.002164 0.002796 0.003889 0.006086 0.013414
2025-06-22 0.001431 0.001720 0.002122 0.002766 0.003907 0.006300 0.015295
2025-06-29 0.001377 0.001660 0.002054 0.002692 0.003836 0.006298 0.016299
2025-07-06 0.001339 0.001620 0.002014 0.002660 0.003842 0.006486 0.018703
2025-07-13 0.001274 0.001540 0.001913 0.002522 0.003632 0.006091 0.017105
2025-07-20 0.001250 0.001517 0.001895 0.002520 0.003685 0.006390 0.020717
2025-07-27 0.001243 0.001518 0.001912 0.002578 0.003867 0.007095 0.031390
2025-08-03 0.001221 0.001497 0.001895 0.002576 0.003924 0.007469 0.043300
2025-08-10 0.001217 0.001501 0.001917 0.002645 0.004140 0.008460 0.117981
2025-08-17 0.001194 0.001477 0.001893 0.002628 0.004167 0.008810 0.334529
2025-08-24 0.001166 0.001444 0.001854 0.002583 0.004122 0.008878 1.779382
2025-08-31 0.001160 0.001443 0.001867 0.002633 0.004308 0.009992 NaN